Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Is the US labor market in the calm before the storm? Economists say the Beveridge curve is the signal to watch.

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

Despite bullish sentiment around AI and Fed rate cuts, I see mounting economic weakness that could broaden out and weigh on the market. Key recession signals include the Leading Economic Index, ...

At 429 basis points, the spread of the major junk bond index to Treasuries is dangerously close to the “inside 400” level, which is where it spends most of its time in a booming economy. I would not ...

If you’ve been watching the news—or your portfolio—chances are you’re starting to feel the fear of a looming recession. Yet if you were to look at the labor market alone, you’d hardly suspect anything ...